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Thursday, November 28, 2019

3 Numbers That Can Make or Break Your Retirement - The Motley Fool

When you're saving for retirement, every decision counts. One wrong move -- like waiting too long to begin preparing -- could drastically affect your overall savings, making it more difficult to retire comfortably.

But when you make the right choices, you can set yourself up for long-term retirement success. There are a lot of numbers to keep track of when you're saving for the future, but these three are some of the most crucial. When you make the best financial decisions, these numbers can ensure a comfortable and enjoyable retirement. But if you make some not-so-good choices, these figures could spell disaster.

Older couple standing on the beach

Image source: Getty Images

1. The amount you have saved by the time you retire

Also sometimes referred to as your retirement number, the amount you should aim to save by retirement age is one of the most crucial numbers to keep in mind as you're saving. If you have a robust retirement fund, your golden years may be one of the most enjoyable periods of your life. But if your savings are sparse, you risk running out of money too soon and spending your retirement basically broke.

How much you should aim to save depends on a few factors, such as the age you plan to retire and how much you expect to spend each year in retirement. If you plan to work into your 70s, you won't need to save as much as if you want to retire at age 60. Similarly, if you dream of traveling the world and learning expensive new hobbies in retirement, you'll need to save more than if you plan to hang out at home most days.

To figure out your retirement number, run your information through a retirement calculator. Keep in mind that this is only an estimate; it's impossible to predict exactly how much you'll need to save. But a good estimate is far better than nothing, and the more accurate your inputs are, the more accurate your results will be.

2. The amount you expect to withdraw from your savings each year in retirement

Saving is challenging enough, but the other half of the equation is making sure you pace your spending in retirement. Even the healthiest nest eggs won't last long enough if you blow through your savings too quickly, so it's important to have a withdrawal strategy in mind when you retire.

The amount you withdraw each year from your retirement fund will depend on what your overall savings look like as well as any other sources of income you have. You'll likely have Social Security benefits to at least somewhat depend on, although your monthly checks are designed to replace only around 40% of your pre-retirement income. If you have a pension, that will help, too -- you'll need to withdraw even less from your personal savings each year.

Think about how much you want to spend each year in retirement, then consider whether you can realistically afford that much. Be sure to account for everyday expenses as well as big expenditures like travel to get an estimate of what your retirement spending will look like. A common benchmark to consider is the 4% rule, which says you can withdraw 4% of your savings during the first year of retirement, then adjust that number each following year to account for inflation. This "rule" is really more of a guideline, so it won't necessarily fit everyone's needs. But it is a good way to get a rough idea of how much you'll be able to spend each year in retirement.

Also, don't forget about how taxes will impact your savings. If you're stashing your money in a 401(k) or traditional IRA, you'll owe income taxes on your withdrawals -- which can affect your withdrawal strategy. If you end up withdrawing more than you'd planned because you didn't consider how much you'd owe in taxes, it could potentially throw off your entire retirement plan.

3. The age you begin claiming Social Security benefits

Although you can't expect to rely solely on Social Security benefits in retirement, they can significantly help make ends meet. But how much you receive each month will depend on the age you start claiming.

To receive the full benefit amount you're theoretically entitled to, you'll need to claim at your full retirement age (FRA). If you were born in 1960 or later, your FRA is 67 years. Those born before 1960 have a FRA of either 66 or 66 plus a few months, depending on the exact year you were born.

You can claim benefits before your FRA as early as age 62, but by doing so, you'll receive smaller checks each month. If you have a FRA of 67 and begin claiming at 62, your checks will be reduced by 30%. But if you wait until after your FRA to claim (up until age 70), you'll receive extra cash each month to make up for the time you weren't receiving benefits. That bonus can be significant, too -- if your FRA is 67 and you claim at age 70, you'll receive a 24% bonus each month on top of your full amount.

Now, in theory, it shouldn't matter what age you start claiming benefits -- as long as you live an average life span. Either you'll receive more (but smaller) checks by claiming early, or fewer (but bigger) checks by waiting. However, the age you claim can make a big difference if you expect to live a much longer- or shorter-than-average life. For instance, if you only live until, say, age 75, you're probably better off claiming as early as you can so you have more time to enjoy that money. But if you think you may live into your 90s, you'll earn more money over a lifetime if you wait until age 70 to claim. Of course, nobody can predict their life expectancy with 100% accuracy. But if you have reason to believe you won't live an average life span, you can maximize your benefits by claiming at the right age.

There's a lot of planning that goes into saving for the future, and there are certain factors that can make or break your retirement. By doing your homework and making smart financial decisions, you can ensure these three numbers work out in your favor.

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3 Numbers That Can Make or Break Your Retirement - The Motley Fool
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Qataris, Saudis Make New Bid to Mend a Long-Festering Feud - The Wall Street Journal

Qatari Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani said that Doha is willing to sever its ties with the Muslim Brotherhood, according to one Arab official. Photo: olivier douliery/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Qatar’s foreign minister made an unannounced trip to Riyadh last month to meet with top Saudi officials, a diplomatic breakthrough that signals the most serious effort yet to end a 2½-year rift between U.S. allies in the energy-rich Gulf, according to U.S. and Arab officials.

One Arab official who confirmed the trip said that Qatari Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani made a surprise offer to end the breach while he was in Riyadh, saying that Doha is willing to sever its ties with the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist political movement distrusted by the Saudi monarchy and its allies.

That would meet a major demand made by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other countries when they severed diplomatic ties and cut transportation links with Qatar in 2017. They accused it of supporting terrorism, which Qatar denies.

Saudi Arabia is weighing Qatar’s proposal, the Arab official said. It remains to be seen whether the sides can agree, and some current and former U.S. diplomats, along with officials from the region, expressed skepticism that the rift can be healed in the near future.

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The cracks within the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council have put Washington in an awkward position and complicated its efforts to unite the GCC to counter Iran. The rift pits the Saudis and Emiratis, who have close security and economic ties to the U.S., against Qatar, which hosts the largest U.S. air base in the region.

Mr. Thani’s visit to Riyadh, which hasn’t been previously reported, was preceded by several rounds of intense diplomacy, much of it mediated by Kuwait, people familiar with the matter said. Some meetings took place on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Japan this summer, they said, without providing details.

Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E. and Bahrain, along with Egypt, launched a boycott of Qatar in June 2017. They issued a list of 13 demands, including that Qatar stop financing terrorism, close the Al Jazeera satellite TV network and curtail ties with Iran.

Qatar doesn’t consider the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist group, and while it denies financing the group, it has offered political support to Brotherhood groups and members, including Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi, who was overthrown in a 2013 coup by Egypt’s military.

The Qatari proposal to end its ties to the group is the most promising opportunity yet to end the dispute, the Arab official said.

“I think this is a serious offer,” the official said. “I think it’s unprecedented. There is a level of skepticism, and actions that will have to be happening to show it is serious.”

Asked about the diplomatic developments, a senior Qatari official said that since the crisis began, “we have welcomed each and every opportunity to resolve the ongoing blockade through open dialogue and mutual respect of each country’s sovereignty.”

An F-22 Raptor takes off during a deployment to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest U.S. air base in the region. Photo: handout/Reuters

On Qatar’s relations with groups like the Muslim Brotherhood, “our commitments have always been to uphold international law and protect human rights and not to a specific party or group,” the official added. “Our support has been sometimes misconstrued by those seeking to isolate Qatar, but the facts bear out our position.”

The Saudi Embassy in Washington didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Saudi and Qatari officials are preparing to meet again to discuss details that would define exactly what Doha is willing to do to cut ties with various Muslim Brotherhood groups.

“We see forward momentum, but we’re not starting from a place where everybody is confident and has trust,” the Arab official said. “We need to continue to negotiate and gain trust until we reach a level of understanding.”

Saudi Arabia’s diplomatic efforts are part of a broader move by Riyadh to resolve regional feuds that have tarnished the country’s international image. Riyadh also is working to extricate itself from the war in Yemen and embark on new talks with Iran, which has been accused of carrying out a series of destabilizing attacks across the region, including the Sept. 14 drone and missile strike that hit the heart of Saudi Arabia’s oil industry.

People familiar with the issue said that while the Saudis may be open to reconciliation with Qatar, the U.A.E. and their de facto leader, Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, remain skeptical.

“There is some optimism that perhaps there’s been a little bit of a thaw” in Gulf relations, said Gerald Feierstein, a former senior State Department official and ambassador to Yemen.

While there are indications of rapprochement between the Saudis and Qataris, it is “not entirely clear that we’re seeing the same kind of thing” between the Emiratis and the Qataris, said Mr. Feierstein, senior vice president of the Middle East Institute in Washington.

One public sign of easing tensions came in a bit of “soccer diplomacy” this week, when teams from the countries that have boycotted Qatar arrived to compete in the Gulf Cup tournament in Doha.

Talks also are under way about holding a meeting of GCC foreign ministers.

The group consists of the Saudis, U.A.E., Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar and Oman. Such a meeting could help present a united front regarding Iran.

Write to Warren P. Strobel at Warren.Strobel@wsj.com and Dion Nissenbaum at dion.nissenbaum@wsj.com

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